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Titel
Varying youth cohort effects on regional labour market outcomes in Germany / Thomas de Graaff (Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam and Tinbergen Institute), Ceren Ozgen (University of Birmingham, IRiS and IZA), Duncan Roth (IAB Institute for Employment Research) ; IZA Institute of Labor Economics
VerfasserGraaff, Thomas de ; Ozgen, Ceren ; Roth, Duncan
KörperschaftForschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit
ErschienenBonn, Germany : IZA Institute of Labor Economics, October 2018
Ausgabe
Elektronische Ressource
Umfang1 Online-Ressource (32 Seiten) : Diagramme, Karten
SerieDiscussion paper ; no. 11932
URNurn:nbn:de:hbz:5:2-170415 
Zugriffsbeschränkung
 Das Dokument ist öffentlich zugänglich im Rahmen des deutschen Urheberrechts.
Volltexte
Varying youth cohort effects on regional labour market outcomes in Germany [5.5 mb]
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Zusammenfassung (Englisch)

We assess how changes in youth cohort sizes effect employment rates in German labour market regions. Replicating the conventional approach, we estimate that a percentage increase in the youth share reduces regional employment rates by -0.2%. We challenge the assumption that cohort size effects are homogenous across space and find robust evidence that the negative effect of youth cohort size is more pronounced in the labour markets of metropolitan regions. These results suggest an upward pressure on urban regional employment rates as a result of the projected decrease in the size of the German youth share.