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Titel
Eliciting permanent and transitory undeclared work from matched administrative and survey data / Péter Elek (Eötvös Loránd University (ELTE)), János Köllő (Hungarian Academy of Sciences and IZA) ; IZA Institute of Labor Economics
VerfasserElek, Péter In Wikipedia suchen nach Péter Elek ; Köllő, János In der Gemeinsamen Normdatei der DNB nachschlagen In Wikipedia suchen nach János Köllő
KörperschaftForschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit In der Gemeinsamen Normdatei der DNB nachschlagen In Wikipedia suchen nach Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit
ErschienenBonn, Germany : IZA Institute of Labor Economics, May 2017
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Elektronische Ressource
Umfang1 Online-Ressource (37 Seiten) : Diagramme
SerieDiscussion paper ; no. 10800
URNurn:nbn:de:hbz:5:2-126060 Persistent Identifier (URN)
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Eliciting permanent and transitory undeclared work from matched administrative and survey data [0.6 mb]
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Zusammenfassung

We study the undeclared work patterns of Hungarian employees in relatively stable jobs, using a panel dataset that matches individual-level self-reported Labour Force Survey data with administrative records of the Pension Directorate for 2001-2006. We estimate the determinants of undeclared work using Heckman-type random-effects panel probit models, and develop a two-regime model to separate permanent and transitory undeclared work, where the latter follows a Markov chain. We find that about 6-7 per cent of workers went permanently unreported for six consecutive years, and a further 4 per cent were transitorily unreported in any given year. The models show lower reporting rates - especially in the permanent segment - among males, high-school graduates, those in agriculture and transport, various forms of atypical employment, and small firms. Transitory non-reporting may be partly explained by administrative records missing for technical reasons. The results suggest that (i) the ‘aggregate labour input method widely used in Europe can indeed be a simple yet reliable tool to estimate the size of informal employment, although it slightly overestimates the true magnitude of black work (ii) the long-term pension consequences of undeclared work are substantial because of the high share of permanent non-reporting.